640  
WTNT32 KNHC 212053  
TCPAT2  
 
BULLETIN  
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022026  
400 PM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026  
 
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD ALONG COASTAL  
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...  
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE  
LOUISIANA COAST...  
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...29.4N 87.2W  
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA  
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES  
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:  
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO MORGAN  
CITY, LOUISIANA.  
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM  
WARNING FOR METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO CAMERON,  
LOUISIANA.  
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* BAY/GULF COUNTY LINE IN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY, LOUISIANA  
* METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* WEST OF MORGAN CITY, LOUISIANA, TO CAMERON, LOUISIANA  
* LAKE MAUREPAS  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48  
HOURS.  
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE  
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR  
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK  
----------------------  
AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS  
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST. BERTHA IS  
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE  
WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH A CONTINUED  
WESTWARD MOTION FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST  
TRACK, BERTHA WILL MOVE NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST DURING  
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OR SO.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, AND GRADUAL WEAKENING  
IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)  
FROM THE CENTER. A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION IN PANAMA CITY  
BEACH, FLORIDA, REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH (72 KM/H) AND A  
GUST OF 57 MPH (92 KM/H) DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB (29.39 INCHES).  
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM BERTHA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL  
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2 AND WMO HEADER  
WTNT42 KNHC.  
 
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN  
THE WATCH AREA IN LOUISIANA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  
 
STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL  
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY  
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD  
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED  
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...  
 
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, LA TO MS/AL BORDER...2-4 FT  
CAMERON, LA TO MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, LA...1-3 FT  
MS/AL BORDER TO AUCILLA RIVER, FL...1-3 FT  
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...1-3 FT  
 
THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.  
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE  
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR  
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY  
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  
 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION,  
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK STORM SURGE GRAPHIC,  
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.  
 
RAINFALL: BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2  
TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER TOTALS AROUND 6 INCHES THROUGH  
THURSDAY ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM WESTERN FLORIDA INTO  
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED FLASH  
FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.  
 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH  
BERTHA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL  
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?RAINQPF AND  
THE FLASH FLOOD RISK GRAPHIC AT  
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?ERO.  
 
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY BERTHA WILL CONTINUE SPREADING WESTWARD  
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE SWELLS  
ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT  
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.  
 
A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND  
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT2.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS  
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 700 PM CDT.  
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.  
 

 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
 
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