369  
FONT12 KNHC 230243  
PWSAT2  
 
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022026  
0300 UTC THU JUL 23 2026  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED  
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
GFAM 280N 890W 34 83 X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)  
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 24 X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)  
 
HOUMA LA 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)  
 
GFAM 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)  
 
LAFAYETTE LA 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
 
NEW IBERIA LA 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
 
GFAM 280N 930W 34 70 2(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)  
 
LAKE CHARLES 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
CAMERON LA 34 19 23(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)  
CAMERON LA 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
KOUNTZE TX 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)  
 
GALVESTON TX 34 2 56(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)  
GALVESTON TX 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)  
 
HOUSTON TX 34 X 13(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
FREEPORT TX 34 X 52(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)  
 
GFAM 280N 950W 34 1 39(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)  
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 3 33(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)  
 
MATAGORDA TX 34 X 44(44) 5(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)  
MATAGORDA TX 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
PORT O CONNOR 34 X 28(28) 10(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)  
 
ROCKPORT TX 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)  
 
GFAM 270N 960W 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
 
FORECASTER PASCH  
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