583
AXPZ20 KNHC 242138
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI JUL 24 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2100 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
HURRICANE FAUSTO IS CENTERED NEAR 18.7N 132.7W AT 24/2100 UTC,
MOVING WEST AT 13 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967
MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 17N TO 22N
BETWEEN 129W AND 134W. SEAS PEAKING TO 32 FT ARE EXPECTED IN THE
AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS, AND 12 FT SEAS OR GREATER WITHIN 285 NM
NE QUADRANT, 210 NM SE QUADRANT, 180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW
QUADRANT. SWELLS GENERATED BY FAUSTO ARE AFFECTING THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE COAST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. FAUSTO IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO T.S. GENEVIEVE,
CENTERED NEAR 9.2N 101.9W AT 24/2100 UTC, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 30 NM IN THE E SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION PREVAILS FROM 04N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND
107W. SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS, AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY
OVER THE WEEKEND.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE LATEST
NHC FORECAST/ADVISORIES AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES OF BOTH SYSTEMS AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
..TROPICAL WAVES
THE SOUTHERN EXTENSION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS ALONG 84W
AND N OF 06N, MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS, MAINLY E OF
88W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 12N98W TO 08N107W. THE
ITCZ IS FROM 08N107W TO 05N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
BOUNDARIES.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
IN THE WAKE OF FAUSTO A RIDGE IS BUILDING ACROSS THE OFFSHORE
WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THIS PATTERN SUPPORTS FRESH TO STRONG
NW WINDS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA, AND MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS BETWEEN PUNTA EUGENIA AND CABO SAN
LUCAS. SEAS GENERATING BY FAUSTO ARE STILL SPREADING ACROSS THE
AREA, AND MIXING WITH THE BUILDING NORTHERLY WIND WAVES TO
PRODUCE SEAS 6 TO 8 FT ACROSS THE BAJA WATERS, HIGHEST N OF PUNTA
EUGENIA. GENTLE TO MODERATE NW TO W WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS
PREVAIL ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MEXICAN OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE WILL MOVE TO 9.9N
103.4W SAT MORNING, 11.2N 105.7W SAT AFTERNOON, STRENGTHEN TO A
HURRICANE NEAR 12.4N 108.1W SUN MORNING, 13.5N 110.4W SUN
AFTERNOON, 14.8N 112.3W MON MORNING, AND 16.1N 113.9W MON
AFTERNOON. GENEVIEVE WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES
TO 17.9N 116.7W TUE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN THE WAKE OF FAUSTO AND A TROUGH
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING FRESH TO STRONG NORTH
WINDS NORTH OF PUNTA EUGENIA. THESE WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
FRESH NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO
REGION AND EXTENDING DOWNWIND TO NEAR 91W, AND NORTHWARD TO
NORTHWESTERN NICARAGUA. SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT WITH THESE WINDS. THE
MONSOON TROUGH REMAINS ACTIVE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS.
ELSEWHERE, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS AND MODERATE TO
ROUGH SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO REGION THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. GENTLE TO MODERATE N WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
GULF OF PANAMA WITH SLIGHT TO MODERATE SEAS. MODERATE OR WEAKER
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN SW SWELL ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE,
EXCEPT IN THE LEE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS AND NEARSHORE WESTERN
COLOMBIA WHERE SLIGHT SEAS ARE FORECAST.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR DETAILS ON
HURRICANE FAUSTO AND T.S. GENEVIEVE.
HURRICANE FAUSTO DOMINATES CONDITIONS OVER THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST
WATERS ROUGHLY FROM 16N TO 26N BETWEEN 126W AND 138W. FRESH TO
STRONG WINDS OUTSIDE OF THE IMMEDIATE CIRCULATION OF FAUSTO
EXTEND NORTHWARD TO 25N, WITH SEAS TO 8 FT REACHING AS FAR N OF
FAUSTO AS 27N. ELSEWHERE, A SURFACE RIDGE DOMINATES THE WATERS
BETWEEN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND FAUSTO, AND ALSO NORTH OF 15N WEST OF
ABOUT 130W. MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS WITH MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL BEGIN TO BUILD SEAS OVER THE EQUATORIAL
WATERS WEST OF 120W BY EARLY THIS EVENING.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE FAUSTO WILL MOVE TO 18.9N 134.5W SAT
MORNING, 19.3N 136.9W SAT AFTERNOON, 19.6N 139.1W SUN MORNING,
19.9N 141.6W SUN AFTERNOON, 20.2N 144.3W MON MORNING, AND WEAKEN
TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.5N 147.2W MON AFTERNOON. FAUSTO WILL
CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 21.3N 152.9W
BY TUE AFTERNOON. T.S. GENEVIEVE WILL MOVE TO 9.9N 103.4W SAT
MORNING, 11.2N 105.7W SAT AFTERNOON, STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE
NEAR 12.4N 108.1W SUN MORNING, 13.5N 110.4W SUN AFTERNOON, 14.8N
112.3W MON MORNING, AND 16.1N 113.9W MON AFTERNOON. GENEVIEVE
WILL CHANGE LITTLE IN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES TO 17.9N 116.7W BY
TUE AFTERNOON. THE CROSS-EQUATORIAL SWELL WILL GRADUALLY BUILD
SEAS TO 8 TO 9 FT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
ERA
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