680
AXPZ20 KNHC 270916
TWDEP
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC MON JUL 27 2026
TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
03.4S TO 30N, EAST OF 120W INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA, AND
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N, BETWEEN 120W AND 140W. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, WEATHER OBSERVATIONS,
RADAR, AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.
BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0900 UTC.
..SPECIAL FEATURES
HURRICANE GENEVIEVE IS CENTERED NEAR 15.5N 112.2W AT 27/0900
UTC, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 925 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 140 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 170 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 40 FT (12.0 M). NUMEROUS
STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM OF THE CENTER. A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GENEVIEVE
STRENGTHENED TO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. GENEVIEVE IS THEN FORECAST TO START
WEAKENING BY THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. SWELLS GENERATED BY
GENEVIEVE ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO AND WILL LIKELY REACH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT OR MONDAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY
TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
PLEASE READ THE LATEST HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT WEBSITE -
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE LATEST NHC
FORECAST/ADVISORIES AND PUBLIC ADVISORIES OF BOTH SYSTEMS AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.
..TROPICAL WAVES
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W, SOUTH OF 17N, MOVING WESTWARD AT
AROUND 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 04N
TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W.
..INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N82W TO 09N105W. THE ITCZ
STRETCHES FROM 08N119W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
CONVECTION IS PRESENT NORTH OF 03N AND EAST OF 85W.
..OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON
MAJOR HURRICANE GENEVIEVE, CURRENTLY LOCATED S OF THE
REVILLAGIGEDO ISLANDS
AWAY FORM THE IMPACTS OF GENEVIEVE, MODERATE TO FRESH N GAP WINDS
HAVE DEVELOPED IN THE TEHUNATEPEC REGION. MODERATE TO LOCALLY
FRESH NW WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE
N ARE IMPACTING WATERS N AND W OF GUADALUPE ISLAND. ELSEWHERE,
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE SLIGHT IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND MODERATE IN THE REMAINING OFFSHORE WATERS.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE GENEVIEVE IS NEAR 15.5N 112.2W AT 2
AM PDT, AND IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 925 MB. GENEVIEVE WILL MOVE TO 16.3N 113.4W THIS
AFTERNOON, 17.3N 115.0W TUE MORNING, 17.9N 116.4W TUE AFTERNOON,
18.5N 117.9W WED MORNING, 19.2N 119.6W WED AFTERNOON, AND 20.0N
121.5W THU MORNING. GENEVIEVE WILL WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM
WELL W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR EARLY FRI. ELSEWHERE, AREAS OF
FRESH MAINLY WESTERLY GAP WINDS ARE LIKELY MON NIGHT THROUGH WED
NIGHT IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD
TO THE WEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...
PLEASE REFER TO THE TROPICAL WAVES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION
ABOUT CONVECTION IN THE REGION.
HIGH PRESSURE NE OF THE AREA IS FORCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
EASTERLY GAP WINDS AND SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FT ACROSS THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO REGION. ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR LIGHTER WINDS AND
MODERATE SEAS ARE PREVALENT.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST GAP WINDS
ALONG WITH LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE PAPAGAYO
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD. PULSING MODERATE TO FRESH NORTH WINDS
ARE EXPECTED ION THE GULF OF PANAMA WED THROUGH THU. MODERATE OR
WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IN SOUTHWEST SWELL ARE EXPECTED
ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT IN THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE GALAPAGOS ISLANDS
AND NEARSHORE WESTERN COLOMBIA WHERE SLIGHT SEAS ARE FORECAST.
THE SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL SUBSIDE BY MIDWEEK.
..REMAINDER OF THE AREA
PLEASE REFER TO THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION FOR INFORMATION ON
MAJOR HURRICANE GENEVIEVE.
HURRICANE FAUSTO CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE TROPICAL EASTERN
PACIFIC. FRESH E WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO 11 FT CONTINUE TO
IMPACT WATERS FROM 17N TO 28N W OF 135W. ELSEWHERE, FOR WATERS
NOT BEING IMPACTED BY FAUSTO OR GENEVIEVE, 1023 MB HIGH PRESSURE
CENTERED NEAR 33N131W DOMINATES. MODERATE TO FRESH ANTICYCLONIC
WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS IMPACT WATERS N OF 18N AND W OF 120W. TO
THE SOUTH OF THE ITCZ, A ZONE OF MODERATE TO FRESH SE WINDS AND
MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS ARE NOTED S OF 05N BETWEEN 95W AND 125W.
ELSEWHERE, MODERATE OR WEAKER WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS PREVAIL.
FOR THE FORECAST, HURRICANE GENEVIEVE IS NEAR 15.5N 112.2W AT 2
AM PDT, AND IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT, AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 925 MB. GENEVIEVE WILL MOVE TO 16.3N 113.4W THIS
AFTERNOON, 17.3N 115.0W TUE MORNING, 17.9N 116.4W TUE AFTERNOON,
18.5N 117.9W WED MORNING, 19.2N 119.6W WED AFTERNOON, AND 20.0N
121.5W THU MORNING. HURRICANE FAUSTO WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS
IT MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE BASIN WITH SEAS DIMINISHING BELOW
8 FT THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WESTERNMOST WATERS.
KONARIK
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