234  
ABPZ20 KNHC 091138  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT SUN AUG 9 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL PACIFIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE  
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE  
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS  
EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES  
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.  
 
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE  
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING A LARGE  
AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL  
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT,  
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE  
THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS  
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 
SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO:  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM WELL OFFSHORE OF THE  
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO BY THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.  
LITTLE, IF ANY, DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED WHILE IT MOVES  
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER ROBERTS  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page