945
ABPZ20 KNHC 092332
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN AUG 9 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL PACIFIC (CP93):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AND IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM BY MID-WEEK AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS
MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED
WELL TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
ENOUGH FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF
THE EAST PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO:
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. BY LATE TUESDAY,
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH AN AREA OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS,
ENDING ITS CHANCES FOR DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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