710  
ABPZ20 KNHC 102328  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 PM PDT MON AUG 10 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
CENTRAL PACIFIC (CP93):  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A  
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST  
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THAT IS NEARLY STATIONARY. ENVIRONMENTAL  
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND  
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE MIDDLE  
PORTION OF THIS WEEK AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS MOVING GENERALLY  
NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC. INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN  
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.  
 
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:  
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LOCATED  
WELL TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA  
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR  
SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM  
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD  
ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
 
SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO:  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES  
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA  
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS HAVE  
BECOME UNFAVORABLE, AND NO FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS  
EXPECTED.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.  
 
 
FORECASTER HAGEN  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TPC Page
Main Text Page