903
ABPZ20 KNHC 111736
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL PACIFIC (CP93):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT APPEARS TO BE REFORMING ABOUT
1200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM BEGINS MOVING GENERALLY
NORTHWESTWARD. INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC:
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS IS LOCATED WELL TO THE
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
FEW DAYS WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PASCH/PIERCE
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