686
ABPZ20 KNHC 112335
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 11 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
CENTRAL PACIFIC (CP93):
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CENTER HAS FORMED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 1050 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
HOWEVER, THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM ON WEDNESDAY
WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15
MPH. INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC (EP99):
A WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN
HAWAII AND THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING SOME SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE ORGANIZATION
OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR ON WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AND ENCOUNTER LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS LATE
THIS WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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