835
ABPZ20 KNHC 171145
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 17 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LALA, LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE,
HAWAII.
SOUTH OF MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LIKELY TO FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK.
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM BY THIS WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WHILE STAYING SOUTH OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK OR
OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC AND INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER KATZ/REINHART
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