882
ABPZ20 KNHC 182316
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 18 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
LALA, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST OF KAUAI, HAWAII.
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO AROUND THE END OF
THE WEEK. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY THEREAFTER,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE
OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC AND THE CENTRAL PACIFIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED WELL TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM TOWARDS THE
END OF THE WEEK OR OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE EAST PACIFIC AND INTO THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PASCH
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