963
ABPZ20 KNHC 201137
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 20 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
LALA, LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF LISIANSKI ISLAND.
CENTRAL PACIFIC (EP90):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL TO THE
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC. INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO:
A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD, REMAINING WELL OFFSHORE
OF MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SEVERAL HUNDRED
MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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