097  
ABPZ20 KNHC 211123  
TWOEP  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
500 AM PDT FRI AUG 21 2026  
 
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE  
LALA, LOCATED NEAR LAYSAN ISLAND, AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C,  
LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII.  
 
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO:  
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF  
THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND  
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT  
WEEK BEFORE IT INTERACTS, OR POSSIBLY MERGES WITH, A DISTURBANCE TO  
ITS WEST.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.  
 
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP91):  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE  
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING  
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS  
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
IS LIKELY TO FORM THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM  
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 
 
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ARE ISSUED  
UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA33 PHFO AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP3.  
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C ARE ISSUED UNDER  
WMO HEADER WTPA23 PHFO AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP3.  
 
 
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE  
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