382
ABPZ20 KNHC 221152
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
LALA, LOCATED NORTH OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT, AND ON TROPICAL STORM MOKE, LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII.
SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO (EP92):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE STARTING TO SHOW SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS
LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THE END OF THIS WEEKEND OR
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO MERGE WITH, OR ABSORB,
THE DISTURBANCE TO ITS WEST (EP91) BY LATE SUNDAY.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP91):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM BEFORE IT MERGES WITH THE DISTURBANCE TO ITS EAST (EP92)
BY LATE SUNDAY.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE MIDDLE
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK WHILE
THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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