849
ABPZ20 KNHC 221716
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
LALA, LOCATED NORTH OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT, AND ON TROPICAL STORM MOKE, LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII.
SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO (EP92):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE QUICKLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. HOWEVER, RECENT SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATES
THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM ON SUNDAY
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP91):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PERSISTING WITH A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE IT INTERACTS WITH, OR MERGES WITH THE
DISTURBANCE TO ITS EAST (EP92) LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE MIDDLE
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK WHILE
THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page