817
ABPZ20 KNHC 230544
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LALA, LOCATED NORTH OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT, AND ON TROPICAL STORM MOKE, LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAWAII.
SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO (EP92):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS
EXPECTED TO FORM ON SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC (EP91):
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE PERSISTING WITH A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS COULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE IT INTERACTS OR MERGES
WITH THE DISTURBANCE TO ITS EAST (EP92).
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
WELL SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO:
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WELL SOUTH OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE MIDDLE
PORTION OF NEXT WEEK. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK WHILE
THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER GIBBS
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