048
ABNT20 KNHC 231132
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC:
A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST
OF THE COAST OF PORTUGAL IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY. THIS
SYSTEM HAS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ACQUIRING SUBTROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY WHILE IT MOVES EASTWARD TO EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD PORTUGAL AND NORTHWESTERN
SPAIN. BY TONIGHT, THE LOW WILL ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS, AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED. FOR MORE
INFORMATION, SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL95):
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BERMUDA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD TODAY AND THEN
ACCELERATES NORTHWARD EARLY THIS WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA ON
MONDAY, AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE WAVE EARLY THIS WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO
BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WEEK WHILE THE
SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN
AND CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE CAN BE FOUND UNDER WMO
HEADER FQNT50 LFPW AND ON THE WEB AT
HTTPS://TGFTP.NWS.NOAA.GOV/DATA/RAW/FQ/FQNT50.LFPW..TXT
FORECASTER BLAKE
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