977
ABNT20 KNHC 241755
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 24 2026
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL95):
SATELLITE-WIND DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS
BROAD IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A FEW
HUNDRED MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, BUT THIS
SYSTEM COULD BECOME A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM
THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD,
WELL NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BY WEDNESDAY, THE LOW IS FORECAST TO
MOVE OVER COLD WATERS, ENDING ITS FORMATION CHANCES.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC:
A TROPICAL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED A
FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS AND IS
ACCOMPANIED BY DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER PORTIONS OF THE WEEK WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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