793
ABNT20 KNHC 250507
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL95):
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
RECENT SCATTEROMETER WIND DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION IS BROAD AND ELONGATED, AND THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM COULD STILL BECOME A
SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM LATER TODAY BEFORE
ENCOUNTERING INCREASINGLY HOSTILE CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY,
LIKELY ENDING ITS CHANCES FOR DEVELOPMENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL96):
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT, AND THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT
BY THE WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER ADAMS
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