811
ABNT20 KNHC 252332
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL96):
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ALONG A TROPICAL WAVE A FEW HUNDRED
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DISPLACED SOUTHWEST OF ITS CENTER. THIS
ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING, BUT
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC, THOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME
LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT BY THIS WEEKEND.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL95):
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF
BERMUDA IS MOVING QUICKLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THE
SYSTEM'S CIRCULATION REMAINS ELONGATED AND ITS ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ALSO ELONGATED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
ARE BECOMING MORE HOSTILE OVER THE SYSTEM, AND ITS CHANCES FOR
DEVELOPMENT ARE DECREASING.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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