426
ABPZ20 KNHC 311124
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KARINA, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON TROPICAL STORM LOWELL, LOCATED WELL
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP95):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT, WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10
MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
CENTRAL PACIFIC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM WELL SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER HAGEN
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