626
ABPZ20 KNHC 311715
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON AUG 31 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KARINA, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA, AND ON TROPICAL STORM LOWELL, LOCATED WELL
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
WELL OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP95):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO ARE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. THE
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
CENTRAL PACIFIC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM WELL SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS IN A FEW DAYS. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE
THEREAFTER WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER KATZ/ROBERTS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page