325  
WTNT35 KNHC 312053  
TCPAT5  
 
BULLETIN  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052026  
400 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026  
 
...STORM SURGE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHWESTERN  
GULF COAST...  
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE COAST OF  
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...  
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION  
----------------------------------------------  
LOCATION...28.2N 91.5W  
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA  
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H  
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES  
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS  
--------------------  
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:  
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE  
VERMILION/IBERIA PARISH LINE IN LOUISIANA.  
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. GULF COAST FROM  
HIGH ISLAND, TEXAS, TO THE VERMILION/CAMERON PARISH LINE, LOUISIANA.  
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* PORT BOLIVAR TO THE VERMILION/IBERIA PARISH LINE  
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...  
* HIGH ISLAND TO THE VERMILION/CAMERON PARISH LINE  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE  
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.  
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-  
THREATENING INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE  
COASTLINE, IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT  
HURRICANES.GOV.  
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE  
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR  
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK  
----------------------  
AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS  
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST. THE  
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H).  
A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM  
IS PREDICTED TO REACH THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING  
AREA ON TUESDAY AND MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON TUESDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED, AND THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO BECOME A  
TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING.  
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB (29.86 INCHES).  
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND  
----------------------  
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE CAN BE FOUND IN THE  
TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT5 AND WMO  
HEADER WTNT45 KNHC.  
 
WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST  
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY TUESDAY MORNING, MAKING OUTSIDE  
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  
 
STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND TIDE WILL CAUSE  
NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS  
MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD REACH THE  
FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED AREAS IF  
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...  
 
HIGH ISLAND, TX TO VERMILION/CAMERON PARISH LINE, LA...2-4 FT  
VERMILION/CAMERON PARISH LINE, LA TO MORGAN CITY, LA...1-3 FT  
 
THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO  
THE RIGHT OF THE CENTER. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE  
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY  
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR  
AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.  
 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION,  
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK STORM SURGE GRAPHIC,  
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT5.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.  
 
RAINFALL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL  
TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 9 INCHES FOR PARTS OF  
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST INLAND THROUGH EAST-CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH  
POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES IN FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. THIS  
RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN  
LOW-LYING AND URBAN AREAS. RIVER FLOODING MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.  
 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH TD  
FIVE, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL  
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT5.SHTML?RAINQPF AND  
THE FLASH FLOOD RISK GRAPHIC AT  
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT5.SHTML?ERO.  
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY  
-------------  
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 700 PM CDT.  
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT.  
 
 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
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