012
FZPN03 KNHC 041615 CCA
HSFEP2
CORRECTED TO ADD CONVECTION FOR MARIE AND KARINA
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI SEP 4 2026
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
SECURITE
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 4.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 5.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 6.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 20.4N 140.4W 973 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 04
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...300 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 12 M. OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W WITHIN 22N136W TO
25N138W TO 25N140W TO 18N140W TO 20N137W TO 22N136W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS
E OF 140W WITHIN 25N134W TO 29N140W TO 13N140W TO 14N137W TO
21N133W TO 25N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARINA W OF AREA NEAR 21.4N 142.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. OVER
FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W WITHIN 24N139W TO 25N140W TO 20.5N140W TO
21N139.5W TO 22.5N139W TO 24N139W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
2.5 TO 4.5 M IN E TO SE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF 140W
WITHIN 24N135W TO 27N140W TO 19N140W TO 21N135W TO 24N135W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.5 M IN E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA E OF AREA NEAR 22.0N
143.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 22.8N 144.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 140W
WITHIN 25N139W TO 27N140W TO 28N140W TO 20N140W TO 22N139W TO
25N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN E SWELL.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.1N 117.9W 972 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 04
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4
M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM S SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND
330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N112W
TO 23N115W TO 24N121W TO 21N122W TO 16N121W TO 15N115W TO 20N112W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
22N109W TO 30N117W TO 24N126W TO 19N126W TO 11N117W TO 12N111W TO
22N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 21.5N 120.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 150 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 13 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N117W TO 26N122W TO 21N125W TO
17N121W TO 17N118W TO 20N115W TO 24N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N111W TO 30N117W TO 30N131W TO
15N129W TO 11N116W TO 23N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO
3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 23.2N 122.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N118W TO 27N123W TO 25N127W TO
21N127W TO 19N121W TO 22N117W TO 25N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
3.0 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 23N111W TO 30N119W TO 29N138W TO
19N138W TO 14N133W TO 12N117W TO 23N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI SEP 4...
HURRICANE KARINA
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120
NM OF CENTER.
HURRICANE MARIE
NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM
OF CENTER.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 08N100W TO 12N110W...AND FROM
11N120W TO 09N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS OCCURRING FROM 03N TO 14N AND E OF 105W...AND FROM
09N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
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