854
ABPZ20 KNHC 090537
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 8 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM LOWELL, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE EAST PACIFIC (EP96):
RECENT SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED
SURFACE CIRCULATION YET. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION, AND FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES
GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
CENTRAL AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE EAST PACIFIC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS
WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE
THEREAFTER, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM EARLY NEXT WEEK
WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER REINHART
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