098  
WTPZ25 KNHC 140233  
TCMEP5  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152026  
0300 UTC MON SEP 14 2026  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.3W AT 14/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 118.3W AT 14/0300Z  
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 117.9W  
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.8N 119.6W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.5N 121.4W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.3N 123.4W  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 40NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.0N 125.8W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.7N 128.3W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.4N 130.8W  
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 15.5N 135.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW  
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 118.3W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z  
 
 
FORECASTER PASCH  
 
 
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