706
ABPZ20 KNHC 192339
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 19 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO (EP99):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO REMAIN DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
GENERALLY NORTHWARD OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. INTERESTS
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR MORE INFORMATION, INCLUDING
GALE WARNINGS, PLEASE SEE THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WESTERN EAST PACIFIC (EP98):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ARE BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH ACROSS THE WESTERN EAST PACIFIC.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (FORMER TD 15-E):
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E, LOCATED WELL EAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS,
REMAIN LIMITED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM NEXT WEEK AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM WELL TO THE
SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PART OF NEXT WEEK.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...60 PERCENT.
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI, WMO HEADER FZPN02
KWBC, AND ON THE WEB AT OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFEPI.PHP
FORECASTER GIBBS
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