619
FOPZ12 KNHC 202056
PWSEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25)
ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
15N 105W 34 47 1(48) 1(49) X(49) 1(50) 1(51) 1(52)
15N 105W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26) 9(35)
BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13)
BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 47(53) 8(61)
MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27)
MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 29(30) 15(45) 1(46)
L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) 1(16)
L CARDENAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 25(26) 6(32) 2(34)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
ZIHUATANEJO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 1(15) X(15)
15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25(26)
20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11)
FORECASTER PASCH
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