615
WTPZ22 KNHC 202056
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.9W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 104.9W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 105.1W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.2N 104.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.3N 103.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.2N 102.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.1N 102.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.5N 102.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.4N 103.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 18.1N 104.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 19.3N 107.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 104.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
FORECASTER PASCH
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