553
WTPZ32 KNHC 202056
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172025
300 PM CST SUN SEP 20 2026
..NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.9N 104.9W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVENTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 104.9
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8
MPH (13 KM/H), AND A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY,
FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
AND NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY MONDAY AND A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E CAN BE FOUND IN
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCDEP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPZ42 KNHC.
RAINFALL: THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS UP TO 12 INCHES ACROSS
COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF MICHOACáN, COLIMA, AND
JALISCO THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 PM CST.
FORECASTER PASCH
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