895
WTPZ22 KNHC 210241
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 60SE 45SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.8W
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 15.4N 103.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.4N 103.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.2N 102.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.5N 102.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 103.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.7N 103.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N 106.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 104.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
FORECASTER PAPIN
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