195
WTPZ32 KNHC 210244
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM POLO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
900 PM CST SUN SEP 20 2026
..DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM POLO
..FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE
SUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 104.6W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM POLO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST. POLO IS NOW
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD
THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED AND A SHARP TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS, AND POLO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB (29.65 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM POLO CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ42 KNHC.
RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM POLO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 4 TO 8 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS UP TO 12 INCHES
ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF MICHOACáN, COLIMA,
AND JALISCO THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL STORM POLO, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM
TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_EP2.SHTML?RAINQPF
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300 AM CST.
FORECASTER PAPIN
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