749
ABPZ20 KNHC 211756
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 21 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ODALYS, LOCATED LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON RECENTLY UPGRADED HURRICANE POLO,
LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO, MEXICO.
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (FORMER TD 15-E):
SATELLITE-WIND DATA INDICATE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E HAS BECOME BETTER
DEFINED, LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME
CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
LIKELY TO FORM AROUND MIDWEEK WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD. INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM IN A FEW DAYS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. THEREAFTER, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD
FORM LATE THIS WEEK OR THIS WEEKEND WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD, PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON POLO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON POLO ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2.
FORECASTER BLAKE
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