258
WTNT41 KNHC 222037
TCDAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
900 PM GMT TUE SEP 22 2026
FAY REMAINS MAINLY COMPRISED OF A SWIRL OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CLOUDS,
ALTHOUGH A FEW ISOLATED PATCHES OF CONVECTION ARE OCCURING IN THE
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. THERE HAS BEEN NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION FOR MORE
THAN 18 H, AND BASED ON THIS IT APPEARS THAN FAY HAS DEGENERATED TO
A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE
BURSTS OCCURING DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER, THE CYCLONE WILL
BE EMBEDDED IN A DRY AIR MASS WITH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE,
AND THESE FACTORS SHOULD KEEP ORGANIZED CONVECTION FROM
RE-DEVELOPING.
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, OR 240/8 KT, AS IT ROUNDS
THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO ITS WEST AND
NORTHWEST. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND BUILDS EASTWARD TO THE NORTH OF
FAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR BEFORE THE REMNANT
LOW DISSIPATES BETWEEN 96-120 H.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON FAY BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1, WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC, AND ONLINE AT
OCEAN.WEATHER.GOV/SHTML/NFDHSFAT1.PHP
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/2100Z 30.8N 35.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 23/0600Z 30.2N 36.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 23/1800Z 29.8N 38.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 24/0600Z 29.6N 40.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 24/1800Z 29.6N 42.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 25/0600Z 29.6N 43.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 25/1800Z 29.6N 44.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 26/1800Z 30.0N 46.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED
FORECASTER BEVEN
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