754
ABPZ20 KNHC 232325
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 23 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
POLO, LOCATED LESS THAN 150 MILES OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO, ON HURRICANE ODALYS, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON RECENTLY UPGRADED TROPICAL
STORM NOLO, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII.
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS TO
THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AFTERWARDS, ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD,
PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
COULD SUPPORT SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM THEREAFTER AS
IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD, REMAINING WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NOLO ARE ISSUED UNDER
WMO HEADER WTPA32 PHFO AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPCP2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM NOLO ARE ISSUED
UNDER WMO HEADER WTPA22 PHFO AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP2.
FORECASTER PIERCE/HAGEN
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