081
ABPZ20 KNHC 242306
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU SEP 24 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
POLO, LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES OFFSHORE OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO, ON
HURRICANE ODALYS, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON TROPICAL STORM NOLO, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED
MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS TO
THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AFTERWARDS, ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD, PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.
WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
COULD SUPPORT SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM, AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD, REMAINING
WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER PIERCE/EVANS/PASCH
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