323
ABPZ20 KNHC 250537
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU SEP 24 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
POLO, LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE OF MANZANILLO,
MEXICO, ON HURRICANE ODALYS, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON HURRICANE NOLO, LOCATED
A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC:
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO TO THE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. AFTERWARDS,
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL
DEVELOPMENT, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATE THIS
WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD, PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM ABOUT 1000 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATE THIS WEEKEND
OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD, REMAINING WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...NEAR 0 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...MEDIUM...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER EVANS/HAGEN
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