847
ABPZ20 KNHC 261146
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 26 2026
FOR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC EAST OF 180 LONGITUDE:
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
POLO, LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO
CORRIENTES, MEXICO, ON HURRICANE ODALYS, LOCATED WELL WEST-SOUTHWEST
OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND ON HURRICANE NOLO,
LOCATED SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.
SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC (EP90):
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC CONTINUES
TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
INCREASES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT,
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR
NORTHWEST. THIS MOTION SHOULD KEEP IT PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
WELL EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS:
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO FORM WITHIN THE NEXT DAY
OR SO ABOUT 1000 MILES TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM, AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
FORM DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD, AND REMAIN WELL
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
FORECASTER KATZ/REINHART
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