047  
ABNT20 KNHC 281116  
TWOAT  
 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
800 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF AMERICA:  
 
ACTIVE SYSTEMS:  
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION FAY, LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.  
 
CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC (AL91):  
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED WELL TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF  
BERMUDA IS MOVING QUICKLY EASTWARD. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY  
SUGGESTS THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS BEGINNING TO SHOW  
SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION, THOUGH IT IS UNCLEAR IF THE SYSTEM HAS  
DEVELOPED A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION GIVEN ITS FAST FORWARD MOTION.  
WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY  
FAVORABLE, THIS SYSTEM IS NOW LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION  
OR STORM OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT TURNS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND  
SLOWS DOWN OVER THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC. ENVIRONMENTAL  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR FURTHER  
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS WEEK.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.  
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER PAPIN  
 
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