961  
FZPN03 KNHC 290941  
HSFEP2  
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
1030 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
SECURITE  
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE  
EQUATOR E OF 120W  
 
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 29.  
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 30.  
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 01.  
 
.WARNINGS.  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING  
 
.HURRICANE POLO NEAR 26.2N 111.9W 978 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 29  
MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT  
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE AND SW  
QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M  
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM  
SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 11.5 M.  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N111W TO 26N112W TO 26N118W TO 24N117W TO  
22N115W TO 23N112W TO 24N111W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF  
SHORE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 3.5 TO 5.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA  
WITHIN 30N116W TO 25N116W TO 30N121W TO 22N119W TO 18N114W TO  
22N110W TO 30N116W...INCLUDING SEBASTIAN VIZCAINO BAY...WINDS 20  
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO INLAND SONORA NEAR 28.4N  
110.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. OVER THE GULF  
OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 26N109W TO 27N110W TO 26N111W TO 25N110W TO  
26N109W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M. OVER WATERS W  
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA WITHIN 28N114W TO 30N116W TO 29N118W TO  
27N117W TO 26N115W TO 26N114W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 2.5  
M.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM POLO WEAKENING INLAND OVER  
MAINLAND MEXICO NEAR 31.7N 106.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT  
GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS  
THAN 2.5 M.   
36 HOUR FORECAST  
DISSIPATED.  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING  
 
.TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 14.7N 104.3W 992 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP  
29 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT  
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM SEMICIRCLE  
...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER  
WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW  
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 6.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N99W TO 18N104W  
TO 14N105W TO 11N105W TO 11N102W TO 12N98W TO 16N99W WINDS 20 TO  
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4.5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N97W TO  
18N153W TO 14N107W TO 11N154W TO 09N100W TO 10N97W TO 14N97W  
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RACHEL NEAR 17.1N 106.8W.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE  
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW  
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 180  
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 8.5 M.  
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N101W TO 19N105W TO 18N107W TO 15N109W TO  
10N107W TO 12N102W TO 17N101W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO  
CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4 M. REMAINDER OF  
AREA WITHIN 16N98W TO 20N108W TO 15N110W TO 10N108W TO 09N101W TO  
12N100W TO 11N99W TO 16N98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5  
M IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.3N 109.1W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS  
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW  
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150  
NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 10 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN  
21N108W TO 18N111W TO 14N108W TO 09N111W TO 10N110W TO 12N105W TO  
14N104W TO 21N108W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20  
TO 33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 M. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N99W TO  
19N104W TO 24N109W TO 23N114W TO 16N115W TO 13N110W TO 09N115W TO  
10N102W TO 12N99W TO 15NB99W...INCLUDING WITHIN 60 NM OF  
SHORE...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE  
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE  
AND INTENSITY.  
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.  
   
LOW PRES...INVEST EP91  
NEAR 14N134W 1005 MB. WITHIN 17N133W  
TO 15N137W TO 08N138W TO 08N134W TO 12N131W TO 17N133W WINDS 20  
TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N126W TO 18N136W TO  
18N140W TO 06N140W TO 07N132W TO 13N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.   
24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP91  
POSSIBLE TROPICAL  
CYCLONE...NEAR 15N130W 1002 MB. WITHIN 17N132W TO 17N134W TO  
16N135W TO 14N135W TO 13N132W TO 15N131W TO 17N132W WINDS 20 TO  
30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N123W TO 19N140W TO  
13N140W TO 09N133W TO 12N125W TO 19N123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.   
48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...INVEST EP91  
POSSIBLE TROPICAL  
CYCLONE...NEAR 16N128W 1001 MB. WITHIN 17N128W TO 18N129W TO  
18N130W TO 16N130W TO 16N128W TO 17N128W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS  
2.5 TO 4 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N127W TO 20N132W TO 18N134W TO  
14N130W TO 11N125W TO 13N124W TO 18N127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.  
SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
 
.LOW PRES NEAR 21N123W 1004 MB. WITHIN 25N124W TO 23N125W TO  
22N125W TO 23N123W TO 24N124.5W 25N124W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25  
KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.5 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N121W TO 28N132W TO  
30N140W TO 18N140W TO 19N125W TO 21N119W TO 30N121W WINDS 20 KT  
OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN E TO SE SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING LOW PRES NEAR 20N123W 1005 MB.  
WITHIN 21N122W TO 22N124W TO 21N125W TO 20N121W TO 20N123W N TO  
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30N119W  
TO 30N132W TO 26N140W TO 19N140W TO 19N123W TO 30N119W WINDS 20  
KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3 M IN E TO SE SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 19N124W TO 14N27W. WINDS 20 KT OR  
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.  
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.  
 
CONVECTION VALID AT 0930 UTC TUE SEP 29...  
   
HURRICANE POLO  
NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND  
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  
   
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL  
NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 210 NM SE  
QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT.  
   
INVEST EP91  
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM  
NE QUADRANT.  
 
.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W.  
   
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH  
 
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N85W TO 12N90W TO 15N95W. IT  
RESUMES W OF RACHEL AT 14N110W TO 11N115W TO 15N122W TO LOW  
PRES...INVEST EP91...NEAR 14N134W 1005 MB TO 13N136W AND TO  
14N140W. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 117W  
AND 122W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN  
106W AND 117W.  
 
 
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
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