814  
WTPZ23 KNHC 291449  
TCMEP3  
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026  
1500 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.0W AT 29/1500Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.  
50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.  
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 140SW 110NW.  
4 M SEAS....220NE 210SE 90SW 210NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 105.0W AT 29/1500Z  
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 104.8W  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.5N 106.4W  
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.  
64 KT... 10NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.9N 107.7W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.  
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 19.0N 108.8W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.  
34 KT...130NE 150SE 140SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.7N 109.5W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.  
34 KT...120NE 140SE 130SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.1N 110.0W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.  
34 KT...120NE 120SE 130SW 100NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.4N 110.6W  
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 20.8N 112.1W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 21.1N 114.0W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 105.0W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 29/1800Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z  
 
 
FORECASTER ADAMS  
 
 
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