251  
WTPZ23 KNHC 300234  
TCMEP3  
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026  
0300 UTC WED SEP 30 2026  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.6W AT 30/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.  
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.  
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.  
4 M SEAS....210NE 270SE 150SW 150NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.6W AT 30/0300Z  
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.3W  
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.0N 107.7W  
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.  
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.9N 108.7W  
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.  
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 50NW.  
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.5N 109.5W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.8N 110.2W  
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.  
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.0N 111.2W  
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.  
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.  
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.  
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N 112.4W  
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.  
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.  
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.  
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 110NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.4N 114.4W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 116.5W  
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.  
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.  
34 KT...100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.6W  
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 30/0600Z  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER REINHART  
 
 
 
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