048
WTPZ33 KNHC 021449
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RACHEL ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
800 AM MST FRI OCT 02 2026
..RACHEL PASSING JUST NORTH OF SOCORRO ISLAND
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 110.8W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RACHEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. RACHEL IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY
MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH (175 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. HOWEVER, RACHEL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM). THE WEATHER STATION ON SOCORRO ISLAND RECENTLY MEASURED
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 57 MPH (92 KM/H) WITH A GUST TO 79 MPH (127
KM/H).
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB (28.32 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM MST.
FORECASTER HAGEN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page