046  
FZPN03 KNHC 022107  
HSFEP2  
 
HIGH SEAS FORECAST  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  
2230 UTC FRI OCT 02 2026  
 
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS  
 
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE  
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE  
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.  
 
SECURITE  
 
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE  
EQUATOR E OF 120W  
 
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 02.  
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 03.  
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 04.  
 
.WARNINGS.  
   
..HURRICANE WARNING
 
 
.HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.3N 111.1W 963 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 02 MOVING  
W OR 265 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.  
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S  
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM  
SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS  
TO 11 M. ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO  
33 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 M FT. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W SW TO  
W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M IN W SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE  
AREA FROM 10N TO 26N BETWEEN 102W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS  
2.5 TO 3 M IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 19.7N 112.4W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN  
110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER  
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 10 M.  
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  
SEAS 3 TO 4 M. FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 107W AND 114W SW TO W WINDS  
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M IN W SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM  
10N TO 26N BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3  
M IN MIXED SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RACHEL NEAR 20.2N 114.2W. MAXIMUM  
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN  
100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 110 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER  
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 10 M.  
ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  
SEAS 3 TO 4 M. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 114W SW TO W WINDS  
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 3.5 M IN W SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM  
10N TO 26N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3  
M IN MIXED SWELL.  
 
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE  
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE  
AND INTENSITY.  
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.  
 
.S OF 01N BETWEEN 107W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0  
M IN S TO SW SWELL.  
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.  
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.  
 
CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC FRI OCT 2...  
   
HURRICANE RACHEL
 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90  
NM OF CENTER.  
   
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH
 
 
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N83W TO 15N96W...THEN RESUMES W OF  
RACHEL NEAR 15N115W TO 15N130W TO BEYOND 07N140W. CLUSTERS OF  
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE NOTED FROM 03N TO 06N E  
OF 83W TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED  
STRONG CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 86W AND 100W...  
FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W...AND FROM 00N TO 08N W OF  
120W.  
 

 
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.  
 
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