684
WTNT34 KNHC 070254
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026
1000 PM CDT TUE OCT 06 2026
..TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO QUICKLY STRENGTHEN
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 95.0W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM W OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND THE U.S. NORTHERN
GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). AN
EAST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE NORTH OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON THURSDAY AND APPROACH THE U.S. NORTHERN
GULF COAST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM EARLY WEDNESDAY AND A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE CAN BE FOUND IN THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT4 AND WMO
HEADER WTNT44 KNHC.
RAINFALL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN THE
STATES OF CAMPECHE AND WESTERN YUCATAN.
FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES, WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS UP TO 10
INCHES, ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST EXTENDING FROM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. FLASH AND URBAN
FLOODING, ALONG WITH ISOLATED RIVER FLOODING, WILL BE POSSIBLE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT4.SHTML?RAINQPF AND THE FLASH FLOOD RISK
GRAPHIC AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT4.SHTML?ERO.
WIND: GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
ON THURSDAY.
SURF: SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BEGINNING ON THURSDAY AND SPREAD
NORTHWARD TOWARD THE GULF COAST LATE THIS WEEK. THESE SWELLS ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
A DEPICTION OF RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN BE FOUND
AT: HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_AT4.SHTML?RIPCURRENTS
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.
FORECASTER REINHART
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