488
WTPZ33 KNHC 081445
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182026
800 AM PDT THU OCT 08 2026
..RACHEL HOLDS STEADY OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 124.2W
ABOUT 915 MI...1470 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN EXTREME NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA, NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA, AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
RACHEL. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF
THIS AREA BY TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RACHEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 124.2 WEST. RACHEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H). THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY, BEFORE A SHARP
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST, ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED,
OCCURS ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF RACHEL IS
EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON
LATE SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT
RACHEL IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN IT
APPROACHES NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB (29.09 INCHES).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR RACHEL CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDEP3 AND WMO HEADER
WTPZ43 KNHC.
SURF: SWELLS PARTLY GENERATED BY RACHEL WILL BUILD ALONG THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 PM PDT.
FORECASTER KATZ/BROWN
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