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HURRICANE ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026
1500 UTC THU OCT 08 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) 25(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFAM 290N 850W 34 X X( X) 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) 48(48) 4(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) 57(57) 10(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 15(15) 10(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
DOTHAN AL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 55(55) 22(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) 14(14) 20(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) 66(66) 18(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) 24(24) 20(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GFAM 290N 870W 34 X 13(13) 82(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 X 1( 1) 71(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 47(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 37(37) 22(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 16(16) 9(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFAM 280N 890W 34 X 43(43) 17(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
GFAM 280N 890W 50 X 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
GFAM 280N 890W 64 X 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
FORECASTER PASCH
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