488
WTPZ25 KNHC 082031
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202026
2100 UTC THU OCT 08 2026
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 103.9W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 103.9W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 103.7W
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.1N 104.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.7N 105.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.8N 104.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.9N 104.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 60NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.1N 104.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.2N 105.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 103.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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