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HURRICANE ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026  
2100 UTC THU OCT 08 2026  
 
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
APALACHICOLA 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)  
 
GFAM 290N 850W 34 X 10(10) 10(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)  
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 7( 7) 46(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)  
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 3( 3) 72(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)  
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)  
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
DOTHAN AL 34 X X( X) 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)  
 
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 23(23) 13(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)  
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 1( 1) 84(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)  
WHITING FLD FL 50 X X( X) 33(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)  
WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 2( 2) 85(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)  
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) 39(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)  
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
GFAM 290N 870W 34 X 87(87) 11(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)  
GFAM 290N 870W 50 X 30(30) 46(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)  
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X 9( 9) 32(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)  
 
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 51(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)  
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)  
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)  
 
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)  
 
BURAS LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
GFAM 280N 890W 34 X 62(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)  
GFAM 280N 890W 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
GFAM 280N 890W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)  
 
 
FORECASTER PASCH  
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