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HURRICANE ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092026  
0300 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026  
 
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.  
 
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)  
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME  
 
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS  
 
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST  
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...  
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...  
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS  
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE  
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING  
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)  
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN  
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)  
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN  
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.  
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY  
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.  
 
 
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -  
 
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM  
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE  
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO  
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED  
 
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  
LOCATION KT  
 
APALACHICOLA 34 X 25(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)  
 
GFAM 290N 850W 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 61(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)  
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)  
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)  
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 81(81) 7(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)  
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 25(25) 13(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)  
DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
DOTHAN AL 34 X 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)  
 
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 35(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)  
MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)  
 
WHITING FLD FL 34 X 75(75) 17(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)  
WHITING FLD FL 50 X 21(21) 29(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)  
WHITING FLD FL 64 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)  
 
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 84(84) 10(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)  
PENSACOLA FL 50 X 32(32) 23(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)  
PENSACOLA FL 64 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)  
 
GFAM 290N 870W 34 9 91(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)  
GFAM 290N 870W 50 X 89(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)  
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X 60(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)  
 
MOBILE AL 34 X 29(29) 15(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)  
MOBILE AL 50 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)  
 
GULFPORT MS 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)  
 
GFAM 280N 890W 34 34 10(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)  
 
 
FORECASTER REINHART  
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